Title |
Cancer incidence in English children, adolescents and young people: past trends and projections to 2030
|
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Published in |
British Journal of Cancer, November 2017
|
DOI | 10.1038/bjc.2017.341 |
Pubmed ID | |
Authors |
Francesca Pesola, Jacques Ferlay, Peter Sasieni |
Abstract |
Estimating the future incidence of cancer is important to establish sufficient service provision, however, work in this area is limited for cancer in children, adolescents, and young adults (aged 0-24). Age-period-cohort models were applied to cancer incidence rates for the period 1971-2013 in England. This allowed us to extrapolate past trends to 2030. We used the appropriate cancer classification developed for cancers in children and young adults, which are analysed as two separate groups to capture inherent differences. The data set consisted of 119 485 records (55% among 15+ years group). Overall, cancer rates have increased over time and are expected to continue to rise into the future. Of particular interest is the increase in rates of germ cell tumours (in males) and carcinomas (in females) in young adults, since their rates are projected to further increase over time. The estimated future incidence rates provide a baseline for different cancer subtypes, which will allow policymakers to develop a contingency plan to deal with future demands.British Journal of Cancer advance online publication, 2 November 2017; doi:10.1038/bjc.2017.341 www.bjcancer.com. |
X Demographics
Geographical breakdown
Country | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
United Kingdom | 4 | 57% |
France | 1 | 14% |
Unknown | 2 | 29% |
Demographic breakdown
Type | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Members of the public | 4 | 57% |
Science communicators (journalists, bloggers, editors) | 1 | 14% |
Scientists | 1 | 14% |
Practitioners (doctors, other healthcare professionals) | 1 | 14% |
Mendeley readers
Geographical breakdown
Country | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Unknown | 40 | 100% |
Demographic breakdown
Readers by professional status | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Researcher | 7 | 18% |
Student > Master | 7 | 18% |
Student > Ph. D. Student | 6 | 15% |
Student > Doctoral Student | 5 | 13% |
Student > Bachelor | 4 | 10% |
Other | 5 | 13% |
Unknown | 6 | 15% |
Readers by discipline | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Medicine and Dentistry | 18 | 45% |
Agricultural and Biological Sciences | 2 | 5% |
Nursing and Health Professions | 2 | 5% |
Chemistry | 2 | 5% |
Social Sciences | 2 | 5% |
Other | 3 | 8% |
Unknown | 11 | 28% |