@vaccinologie @Pourquoidocteur Le R0 de la variole est entre 3,5 et 6 de manière générale ( https://t.co/Ye0tgXdRdf ) Pour imaginer une maladie éradicable sans vaccin, il faudrait un isolement complet de tous les malades/cas contact, je te mets au défi d
@SciDemocrat @DoeSpam Quelle? Ich kenne das eher so hier https://t.co/fi7MCvTyes
@AltenbergLee @chroniclistmakr @drmikeny @denise_dewald Monkey pox transmission: https://t.co/X6aygsuMvE R0 smallpox: https://t.co/5jS1it3lf2 Monkeypox R0 endemic, prior to outbreak: https://t.co/snn2lqpfK6
@writeon1 @AshleyGWinter Smallpox and monkeypox R factors are lower (we hope). That enabled an 85% effective vaccine for a virus that was “not air-born” to have a boost/refresh cycle of three years. Vaccination rates are too low if endemic areas cannot co
RT @TWenseleers: The R0 of smallpox has previously between estimated to lie between 3.5 and 6. This probably also means that monkeypox coul…
We can look at smallpox, a virus in the same genus as monkeypox. Scientists suggest smallpox has a basic R number between 3.5 – 6, modelled in countries without herd immunity. They also predicted a "reasonably rapid epidemic rise" if an outbreak occurred:
RT @TWenseleers: The R0 of smallpox has previously between estimated to lie between 3.5 and 6. This probably also means that monkeypox coul…
RT @TWenseleers: The R0 of smallpox has previously between estimated to lie between 3.5 and 6. This probably also means that monkeypox coul…
@ShreikerH @darnitcomics @onemindinmany @sebpowell @SamolejJ Because of its high transmission rate per population. https://t.co/rLrZBUnmfp "pre-twentieth century populations with negligible herd immunity, the numbers of cases initially rose exponentially,
RT @TWenseleers: The R0 of smallpox has previously between estimated to lie between 3.5 and 6. This probably also means that monkeypox coul…
RT @TWenseleers: The R0 of smallpox has previously between estimated to lie between 3.5 and 6. This probably also means that monkeypox coul…
RT @TWenseleers: The R0 of smallpox has previously between estimated to lie between 3.5 and 6. This probably also means that monkeypox coul…
RT @TWenseleers: The R0 of smallpox has previously between estimated to lie between 3.5 and 6. This probably also means that monkeypox coul…
RT @TWenseleers: The R0 of smallpox has previously between estimated to lie between 3.5 and 6. This probably also means that monkeypox coul…
RT @TWenseleers: The R0 of smallpox has previously between estimated to lie between 3.5 and 6. This probably also means that monkeypox coul…
RT @TWenseleers: The R0 of smallpox has previously between estimated to lie between 3.5 and 6. This probably also means that monkeypox coul…
RT @TWenseleers: The R0 of smallpox has previously between estimated to lie between 3.5 and 6. This probably also means that monkeypox coul…
RT @TWenseleers: The R0 of smallpox has previously between estimated to lie between 3.5 and 6. This probably also means that monkeypox coul…
The R0 of smallpox has previously between estimated to lie between 3.5 and 6. This probably also means that monkeypox could have a fair amount of space to evolve to become more contagious. https://t.co/1S2N4r853K
@maiamajumder Smallpox has an estimated R0 from 3.5 to 6. https://t.co/IhLsSAs4ii @RadCentrism @AndrewNoymer "Should smallpox recur, such estimates of transmission potential (R0 from 3.5 to 6) predict a reasonably rapid epidemic rise "
RT @EduardoSuarez25: @1000genes #monkeypox Debemos recordar que el estudio "Transmission potential of smallpox in contemporary populations"…
RT @EduardoSuarez25: @1000genes #monkeypox Debemos recordar que el estudio "Transmission potential of smallpox in contemporary populations"…
RT @EduardoSuarez25: @1000genes #monkeypox Debemos recordar que el estudio "Transmission potential of smallpox in contemporary populations"…
RT @EduardoSuarez25: @1000genes #monkeypox Debemos recordar que el estudio "Transmission potential of smallpox in contemporary populations"…
@1000genes #monkeypox Debemos recordar que el estudio "Transmission potential of smallpox in contemporary populations" ya establecía un R0 de 3 a 6 para la viruela clásica (yo calculo que el R0 la cepa circulante actual, sería mayor que 2 e inferior a 3)
@UnwashedWater @Commie_sama FTR, before anyone feels their ego is linked to that estimate. Smallpox has an R of about 6-7 ( B A D ), depending on type (major, minor, hemorrhagica, etc). Claims of an R of >20 have NEVER been verified or substantiated. ht
@md_stat Even with CV, the R0 varied depending on the circumstances. For smallpox, it’s all over the place. https://t.co/jhIDc9gr1q But more than anything, the outbreaks were isolated, and controllable with vaccines mostly because the transmissibility was
RT @PeterCawdron: @skdh @EpiEllie Smallpox had a similar r-value and we haven't had to live with that https://t.co/czNeTUpV5I we lack the w…
@skdh @EpiEllie Smallpox had a similar r-value and we haven't had to live with that https://t.co/czNeTUpV5I we lack the will not the ability to eradicate covid. It would take a massive coordinated effort, but it could be done. Masks & vaccines are a gr
@WillBrink @MonicaGandhi9 Here, we're comparing to smallpox, to analogize/explain. But elsewhere in this discussion, we're comparing to other corona viruses. This is a source of confusion. Why? Well, Smallpox has an R0 estimate that ranges *higher* than d
@Vitalityyyyyy @Luxembourgian_ @Cest__Carre Entre 3,5 et 6 d'après cet article de Nature : https://t.co/NlPkS3zpWW
THIS IS IMPORTANT NEWS...#wapol #auspol #StayTheFuckAtHome #Masks4all
RT @jason_pontin: To provide some context, the R0 of smallpox in pre-20th century populations without herd immunity was about 3.6 to 7: htt…
You know that bit about one person infecting one-and-a-half persons? it's really a lot more contagious then we thought. #COVID19
Threadlet.
@ricburton @prestonjbyrne The estimated R0 for smallpox is comparable to sarscovid2. https://t.co/GOySz6MyDh Smallpox has lots of presymptomatic viral shedding.
@BillHanage Secondly (lastly for your sake) is it useful to contrast this with estimates made by Gani/Leach (Nature 2001) that the transmission potential of small pox in contemporary society would be 3.5 - 6? Saying merely that it spreads faster than recen